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    Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap?

    Author Graham Allison in Conversation with Orville Schell

    When: Monday, 7/24/2017 8:00 PM - 9:00 PM Export event

    Where: Freidenrich Conference Center, Room F-401


    About the Author:
    Director of Harvard's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Graham Allison is a leading analyst of U.S. national security and defense policy with a special interest in nuclear weapons, terrorism and decision-making. As Assistant Secretary of Defense in the first Clinton Administration, Dr. Allison received the Defense Department's highest civilian award, the Defense Medal for Distinguished Public Service, for "reshaping relations with Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan to reduce the former Soviet nuclear arsenal."

    About the Book:
    Today, an unstoppable rising China is on course to collide with an immovable America. The likely result of this competition was identified by the great historian Thucydides, who wrote: "It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable." According to history, when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling one, the most likely outcome is war. Twelve of 16 cases in which this occurred in the past 500 years ended violently.

    Can Washington and Beijing steer their ships of state through today's treacherous shoals? Only if they learn and apply the lessons of history. 

    In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides's Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century.

    Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past—and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today.

    About the Moderator:
    The event will be moderated by Orville Schell, the Arthur Ross Director of the Center on U.S.-China Relations at the Asia Society in New York. He is a former professor and Dean at the University of California, Berkeley Graduate School of Journalism.  

    Schell is the author of fifteen books, ten of them about China, and a contributor to numerous edited volumes. His most recent book is Wealth and Power: China’s Long March to the Twenty-first Century. He is also a contributor to such magazines as The New Yorker, The Atlantic, The New York Times Magazine, Newsweek, The China Quarterly and The New York Review of Books, among others.

    Schell graduated Magna Cum Laude from Harvard University in Far Eastern History, was an exchange student at Taiwan University in the 1960s, and earned a PhD (Abd) in Chinese History at the University of California, Berkeley. He worked for the Ford Foundation in Indonesia, covered the war in Indochina as a journalist, and has traveled widely in China since the mid-70s. 

    He is a Fellow at the Weatherhead East Asian Institute at Columbia University, a Senior Fellow at the Annenberg School of Communications at USC and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Schell was a Fellow at Columbia University's Graduate School of Journalism and the recipient of many prizes and fellowships, including a Guggenheim Fellowship, the Overseas Press Club Award and the Harvard-Stanford Shorenstein Prize in Asian Journalism.

     

    Praise for Destined for War:

    "You can bet that China's leaders will read Allison's warnings about Thucydides's Trap. I only wish I could be as sure about America's leaders. But every informed citizen should buy a copy." 
    ~Historian Niall Ferguson

    "As with Essence of Decision, Destined for War again provides us with Allison's penetrating insights into global politics in the 21st century and beyond." 
    ~Ban Ki-moon, former Secretary General of the United Nations

    "Thucydides's Trap identifies a cardinal challenge to world order. I can only hope that the US-China relationship becomes the fifth case to resolve itself peacefully, rather than the thirteenth to result in war."
    ~Henry Kissinger, former United States Secretary of State

     

    Monday, July 24
    8:00–9:00 PM
    Freidenrich Conference Center, Room F-401
    $18 Ticket only | $25 Book and ticket
    Contact: Ilanit Gal | (650) 223-8649 | [email protected]



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